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Elon Musk and Morgan Stanley Predict Massive Future for Humanoid Robots

Harshajit Sarmah
Harshajit Sarmah·Jul 3, 2024·1 min read
Elon Musk discusses humanoid robots

In June, Tesla and SpaceX chief Elon Musk predicted that humanoid robots could eventually outnumber humans, potentially reaching a two-to-one ratio, with estimates ranging from 10 billion to as many as 30 billion robots.

Musk also spoke about this vision at Tesla's recent annual meeting, mentioning the possibility of a massive increase in the humanoid population. He discussed the forthcoming limited production of Tesla's humanoid robot, Optimus, slated for next year, with initial deployments aimed at handling repetitive tasks on Tesla's factory floors. 

By 2026, Musk anticipates significant improvements in Optimus, including fully customizable software to cater to specific customer requirements.

According to a report, analysts from the American multinational investment bank, Morgan Stanley, also shared their take on artificial intelligence (AI) and humanoids. Analysts now suggest that the potential for humanoid robots is much larger and quicker to be adopted than autonomous vehicles. They specifically referenced Tesla's Optimus in their analysis. 

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Considering the economic potential, the analysts also predict that within the theoretical $30 trillion global labor market, there could be 8 million humanoid robots by 2040, creating a wage impact of $357 billion, and 63 million by 2050, with a wage impact of $3 trillion.

Furthermore, the analysts discussed the significance of humanoid robots, emphasizing that the world is designed for humans, which makes humanoid robots the most suitable for integration. Even Nvidia’s CEO, Jensen Huang, concurs, noting that humanoid robots naturally fit into an environment built by and for humans.


Edited by Harshajit Sarmah

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